Home Sports Expert picks and betting tips for US Open 2022

Expert picks and betting tips for US Open 2022


The 2022 US Open Championship returns to Brookline Country Club in Brookline, Massachusetts, for the first time since 1988, with a loaded field of 156 golfers vying for the top 60 spots to qualify. 2011 US Open winner Rory McIlroy enters the weekend as the favorite after winning the RBC Canadian Open last weekend. McIlroy will have to beat a tough field including defending champion Jon Rahm, PGA Championship winner Justin Thomas and Masters winner Scottie Scheffler.

Where is the value of the bet? Will the favorites win? Our golf and betting experts break down the field for the third major tournament of the year.

Jump to a section:
Experts’ Choice to Win | Choosing the value of bets to win | Ratings of Notable Golfers | Accessories and more

Choice of experts

Matt Barrie, ESPN
Rory McIlroy

Charlotte Gibson, ESPN.com
Winner: Will Zalatoris

Andy North, ESPN
Winner: Justin Thomas

Mark Schlabach ESPN.com
Shane Lowry

Marty Smith, ESPN
Tony Finau

Strange Curtis, ESPN
Cameron Smith

Wright Thompson, ESPN.com
Dustin Johnson

Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com
Rory McIlroy

Tom VanHaaren, ESPN.com
Rory McIlroy

Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
Will Zalatoris

Kevin Van Valkenburg, ESPN.com
Will Zalatoris

Josh Weinfuss, ESPN.com
Scottie Scheffler

The value of bets chooses to win

Our betting experts give you choices to win based on value. We look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance of cashing in your ticket.

Michael Collins, ESPN Senior Golf Analyst
Winner: Sam Burns (25-1)

Why he will win: Burns already has three wins this season and is hot after his last three starts. At 25-1, he has a lot of value in a stacked field.

Anita Marks, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Sungjae Im (40-1)

Why he will win: I play well on the big stage (T-2 and T-8 at the Masters, T-17 at the PGA Championship). He checks many boxes when looking at the metrics needed to win at Brookline, ranking 29th in driving accuracy, seventh in greens in regulation and third in scrambling this season.

David Bearman, Associate Sportsbook Editor, ESPN.com
Winner: Justin Thomas (11-1)

Why he will win: Thomas put in another incredible performance last week in Canada with a 63-64 weekend to nearly chase Rory McIlroy. He is third on the tee-to-green and strokes won overall, 6th on the approach and 14th off the tee. Thomas is arguably the hottest golfer on the tour right now and finally overcame the “second major drought” last month. No. 3 should be in the cards this weekend.

Chris Fallica, ESPN Betting Analyst
Dustin Johnson (40-1)

Why he will win: Johnson is a former US Open champion and has enjoyed a streak of five top-six finishes in seven years. This course will require long, precise play off the tee, and that’s exactly what DJ’s need. It hasn’t had the best years, but at this price it’s definitely worth it.

Tyler Fulghum, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Xander Schauele (22-1)

Why he will win: Schauele has never won a major tournament but has always been in contention at the US Open. He has played the event five times in his career and has a T-5, T-6, T-3, 5 and T-7. Schauffele always seems to play his best when the conditions are the most dangerous and the ground is deepest. It’s time for the X-Man to break through with his first major victory.

Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN Betting Analyst
Winner: Shane Lowry (35-1)

Why he will win: Lowry has just produced a T-10 in Canada to go along with its T-3 finishes at the Masters and RBC Heritage and its second-place finish at the Honda Classic. He currently ranks ninth on the circuit in Strokes Gained: Approach Green, which is an integral part of a course like Brookline with postage stamp greens.

The odds of winning the US Open 2022

Accessories and more

Our betting experts have more than bets to win. Here are some props to target for the entire event, from top 10 to cuts made to tournament matches.

Dustin Johnson finishes in the top 10 (+400)
Bearman: This pick isn’t about the LIV Tour, but getting a 4-1 top-10 value over a former world No. 1 player, who has a solid resume of playing well on the Northeast courses. . He has six top 10s at the US Open, including a win in 2016. He hasn’t been great at all this year, but if he brings his A-game and his golfs with a chip on his shoulder, that could cash in as well as the 40-1 payout to win.

Collin Morikawa ranks top 10 (+175)
Bearman: I will be playing Morikawa to win and get into the top 10 because he is arguably the best ball hitter on the tour and this course demands that kind of play. His fight has always been the putter but Morikawa understood that in the previous two major tournaments. This course is tailor-made for a guy fifth on the approach and 20th on the start, and a third Grand Slam stop is not out of the question.

Bryson DeChambeau in the top 5 (+800)
Collins: DeChambeau is healthy and surprisingly under the radar this week. This is a literal “for the money” bet. He will try to do what he did at Winged Foot to win this US Open.

Playoff to decide the winner (+310)
Collins: Members of the media hate to hear the word playoffs in golf, but this week has all the potential for a three to four player playoff. A lot of guys look like they’re peaking right now.

Xander Schauele in the top 10 (+225)
Fallic: Although Schauffele didn’t break through for a major championship win, he excelled on the US Open courses. He posted five Top 10s in each of his five appearances, with three top fives. Schauffele ranks seventh in strokes won: tee-to-green and ninth in strokes won: total. This well-rounded match should make for another solid weekend at the US Open.

Viktor Hovland will miss the cup (+225)
Hovland hasn’t had a Top 20 in a stroke play event since March and has never finished in the Top 10 at a major. He is also terrible around the green – 204th in strokes won around the green – and given the small size of these greens, that could cause him problems this weekend.

Max Homa in the top 20 (+160)
Brands: Homa’s first two victories on the tour were both on major championship quality courses. He’s T5 at Memorial — where he needed just 99 putts that week, and T-13 at the PGA Championships last month.

Adri Arnaus in the top 40 (2-1)
Arnaus has the distance to compete this week. He topped the DP World Tour, finished T-30 in the PGA Championship and is Spain’s second best player, behind Jon Rahm.